April 11, 2007

Harper Waiting Until he is 5 Weeks Away

Apparently, I was a little too subtle yesterday when I spoke of the resilience of the Liberal voter.

The trend which emerged from the SES poll released yesterday is that so far, Harper has not converted his popularity into votes. We do know that when Harper’s popularity went up in late 2005, it was a sign of things to come…but there is no Gomery to seal the deal.

(Memo to Tories: Kick the bastards out does not work when you are the bastards in power)

You need a catalyst to make people change their minds. Right now, no amount of insults thrown at Stephane Dion seem to be doing the trick…yea so Dion is Preston Manning with a French accent…so what…these people are life-time Liberal voters…

For most of my family changing their vote is tantamount to changing their tomato sauce recipe. (They don’t. It is inherited and passed down.)

Harper is a smart guy. I call him the Conservative Jean Chrétien, which probably explains why I respect Steve so much.

When he sees his antics start to pay off, he will trip and the government will fall. Harper will go when he is 5 weeks away from a majority, not a day earlier, and not a day later…

I guess what I meant to say yesterday is that the train wreck is coming, and that it is not here yet because we are still standing firm on the tracks.

And despite the entire hullabaloo you will hear in the next few weeks, if we do not have an election that is the reason, because Harper is the one driving the train and knows exactly what he is doing.

10 Commentaires:

Blogger Demiurge a dit...

There is no doubt that Harper is smart but its become almost cultish the way so many want to stick him on a pedestal and claim every move he makes is pure strategic genius.

Look at the facts: He managed to gain a weak minority government on his second attempt against the weakest PM possibly in our history.

He has made plenty of blunders in which he has shown an arrogant, power worshipping, bullying unlikeable side-eager to play off ethnic divisions in the country for political gain.

The vast majority of Canadians still don't want to give him a majority government even though he has led a much more responsive government than the Liberals who had grown totally out of touch.

So many bloggers seem to not understand why Canadians still haven't warmed to a Conservative government but really Harper is often a national embarassment. Wanting to flat out break our word on Kyoto and Kelowna might fly with some middle class assholes but your average Canadian actually still has some sense of honour.

Not to mention the guy's foreign policy is pure 'follow the neocon', at least Mulroney took a strong anti-apartheid stance in opposition to Reagan's policy at the time. If we had had Harper at the time, Canada would have taken the wrong side.

I can't see the Bloc, the NDP or the Liberals hardcore support sliding to such an ideologue, no matter how 'clever' he is or what kind of 'strong leader' image he manages to project. That shit works on some people for sure, always has, but Canadians tend to award more points for content than style.

4/11/2007 4:42 PM  
Blogger The Rat a dit...

This comment has been removed by the author.

4/11/2007 6:07 PM  
Blogger The Rat a dit...

For most of my family changing their vote is tantamount to changing their tomato sauce recipe. (They don’t. It is inherited and passed down.)

And I guess you see no real problem with that? Seriously, it's voters like you and your family that give the Liberals the green light to steal. If I was a bigwig Lib the message I'd be getting from you and the rest of the Liberal base is that they can really do no wrong, or at least nothing that would lose the vote. Frankly, it's a shameful comment on Eastern Canadian democracy.

4/11/2007 6:08 PM  
Blogger Antonio a dit...

hello person who just said me and my family encourage stealing...

care to identify yourself next time before you insult me and my nonna...

4/11/2007 6:33 PM  
Blogger bigcitylib a dit...

Yo Antonio,

there's a link from the Nat Newswatch Page to a garbled mechano translation of a La Presse story. Seems to suggest Harper has thrown in the towel on '07 and will hold a couple of by-elections in Quebec to guage support, then maybe go in 2008.

4/11/2007 6:54 PM  
Blogger JimTan a dit...

Ahhhh!

So what is he going to do with the amended Bill C-30? Is he going to capitulate?

4/11/2007 7:00 PM  
Blogger bigcitylib a dit...

Clean Air Act? Either capitulate or never let it get to a vote. You can tell by the way the opposition has pushed on this (and backed down on some law and order stuff) that its Harper's weak link. This is the one thing Harper is afraid to fall over.

4/11/2007 7:10 PM  
Blogger Antonio a dit...

then maybe he does not feel he is 5 weeks away...

4/11/2007 7:16 PM  
Blogger petroom a dit...

I agree with demiurge, Harper is so over-rated. He's like old soup. His independent thoughts are pretty boiled over and close to garbage. He epitomizes and represents the worst in Canadian Conservative politics.

4/11/2007 9:39 PM  
Blogger wilson61 a dit...

And it begins;
Dion is defined,
next, the Liberal brand:

Ex-PQ minister to lead polling contracts inquiry

Military police have been called in to investigate irregularities surrounding almost $100 million worth of National Defence transportation contracts. (audit started April 2006)

4/11/2007 11:57 PM  

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